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مقاله Does inflation increase after a monetary policy tightening+کد داینر

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عنوان کامل مقاله: Does inflation increase after a monetary policy tightening? Answers based on an estimated DSGE model

نویسندگان: Pau Rabanal

چکیده مقاله:

This paper estimates the importance of the cost channel of monetary policy in a New Keynesian model of the business cycle. A model with nominal and real rigidities is extended by assuming that a fraction of firms need to borrow money to pay their wage bill. Hence, a monetary policy tightening increases effective unit labor costs of production, and might imply an increase in inflation. The paper examines the conditions under which the model can generate a positive response of inflation to a monetary contraction, and estimates the model’sparameters using Bayesian methods. The paper shows that the estimated demand-side effectsof monetary policy dominate the estimated supply side effect, even if restrictions are imposed that make occurrence of a positive inflation response to a monetary contraction more likely.

Keywords: Price puzzle; New keynesian models; Bayesian methods; United states
JEL classification: C11; C15; E31; E32

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