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مقاله A Pitfall with Estimated DSGE-Based Government Spending Multipliers+ کد داینر

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عنوان کامل مقاله: A Pitfall with Estimated DSGE-Based Government Spending Multipliers

نویسندگان: Patrick Fève, Julien Matheron and  Jean-Guillaume Sahuc

چکیده مقاله:

This paper examines issues related to the estimation of the government spending multiplier (GSM) in a DSGE context. We stress a source of bias in the GSM arising from the combination of endogenous government expenditures and Edgeworth complementarity between private consumption and government expenditures. Due to cross-equation restrictions, omitting the endogenous component of government policy at the estimation stage would lead an econometrician to underestimate the degree of Edgeworth complementarity and, consequently, the long-run GSM. An estimated version of our model with US postwar data shows that this bias matters quantitatively. The results are robust to a number of perturbations.

KEYWORDS: DSGE models, Edgeworth complementarity/substitutability, Government spending rules, Multiplier.

JEL CLASS.: C32, E32, E62.

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